Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005265 0.005556 0.005858 0.006193 0.006557 0.006940 0.007376
2026-01-25 0.004734 0.005155 0.005609 0.006140 0.006746 0.007421 0.008233
2026-02-01 0.004505 0.005012 0.005578 0.006262 0.007074 0.008016 0.009203
2026-02-08 0.004254 0.004810 0.005446 0.006236 0.007201 0.008358 0.009873
2026-02-15 0.004062 0.004656 0.005350 0.006231 0.007337 0.008702 0.010552
2026-02-22 0.003858 0.004472 0.005201 0.006144 0.007354 0.008886 0.011025
2026-03-01 0.003684 0.004313 0.005069 0.006066 0.007370 0.009059 0.011485
2026-03-08 0.003564 0.004211 0.005002 0.006061 0.007474 0.009347 0.012115
2026-03-15 0.003377 0.004017 0.004808 0.005879 0.007329 0.009285 0.012237
2026-03-22 0.003294 0.003950 0.004771 0.005899 0.007454 0.009597 0.012920
2026-03-29 0.003237 0.003914 0.004771 0.005967 0.007645 0.010009 0.013781
2026-04-05 0.003136 0.003816 0.004685 0.005911 0.007657 0.010159 0.014245
2026-04-12 0.003055 0.003742 0.004629 0.005896 0.007728 0.010405 0.014887
2026-04-19 0.002966 0.003654 0.004551 0.005846 0.007745 0.010568 0.015404
2026-04-26 0.002943 0.003653 0.004589 0.005960 0.008007 0.011121 0.016625
2026-05-03 0.002872 0.003585 0.004532 0.005935 0.008058 0.011344 0.017293
2026-05-10 0.002813 0.003530 0.004492 0.005931 0.008139 0.011617 0.018071
2026-05-17 0.002731 0.003442 0.004402 0.005850 0.008095 0.011681 0.018469
2026-05-24 0.002657 0.003362 0.004320 0.005777 0.008060 0.011756 0.018893
2026-05-31 0.002608 0.003316 0.004285 0.005772 0.008132 0.012016 0.019694
2026-06-07 0.002510 0.003198 0.004144 0.005602 0.007929 0.011791 0.019514
2026-06-14 0.002474 0.003168 0.004127 0.005621 0.008035 0.012108 0.020460
2026-06-21 0.002454 0.003157 0.004140 0.005685 0.008216 0.012569 0.021753